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Industry News | Time: May 25 2017 10:44AM
[11th China Hangzhou Cellulose Fiber (Viscose) Industry Forum]Macro economy, financial market and investment strategies in global turmoil
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Zhang Ming, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Science, gives his speech
Macro economy, financial market and investment strategies in global turmoil

Mr. Zhang firstly introduce the trend of macro economy. Global economy extends its stagnation while warms up recently. Major developed markets have shown signs of recovery, and the situation in emerging markets also improve.

Secondly, he analyzes the dynamics of international financial market. Under the background of Fed's rate hike, many monetary policies show of central banks tighten. Geopolitical risks increase on the issues in South China Sea, the Middle East and Korean Peninsula. In forex market, real exchange rate of GBP depreciated, USD remained strong, and currencies of most emerging markets appreciated. Stocks in developed and emerging markets were mixed, while in the U.S. have risks. Bond yields in developed countries increased while the bull market might end. Commodity market continued moving up in 2016 while begin to consolidate in 2017. Risk aversion sentiment boosted gold prices. He also suggest to add safe-haven assets in terms of asset allocation.

China's economy and trade:
China's economy has not stepped out from the L-Shaped downward move. Consumption growth is large stable, foreign trade improvs, and labor market remains stable. China will keep applying proactive fiscal policy, natural monetary policy and tightening financial regulation. He also mentions the stock, bond and real estate market in China. China will accelerate the Road and Belt Initiative strategy.
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