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Insight | Time: May 9 2019 10:26AM  Editor:CCFGroup.com
April cotton yarn imports may increase 10.44% m-o-m to 201kt
 
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1. Imported cotton yarn arrivals to China assessment



Cotton yarn imports to China in Apr are estimated at 201kt, up 37.2% y-o-y and 10.44% m-o-m.


According to the shipments in overseas market in Mar, the arrivals of imported cotton yarn in Apr are predicted to hit the peak in the first half of 2019. The imports from Vietnam is estimated at 73kt, from India 54kt, from Pakistan 26kt, from Uzbekistan 13kt, from Indonesia 13kt, from Taiwan 8kt and from other regions and countries 14kt. With bullish expectation after Spring Festival holiday and the obviously widening gap between foreign and Chinese cotton price, cotton yarn imports of China from major origins all increased, except for Pakistan.


2. Traders' reflection


Note: Over 30 enterprises are surveyed, covering over 50% of cotton yarn imports.

Major traders and L/C issuing companies reflected higher arrivals of imported cotton yarn and the arrivals in Apr may be the highest in the first half of 2019.

3. Imported yarn stocks and supply and demand outlook in May


Stocks of imported cotton yarn in May increased largely. In particular, sales of traders moved slowly after mid-Apr. The stocks in China ports are predicted at 98.8kt, in Jiangsu and Zhejiang 39.5kt, in Guangdong 38.1kt and in North China 11.9kt.銆

In early May, the stocks reached high level and traders were burdened with high pressure. But later arrivals are predicted to reduce gradually and the cost will step upward. Ordering was cautious in China. In terms of the price, the costs of stocks in China ports were not high. Calculated with current spot price, traders can gain profit of 200-500yuan/mt. The payment will be intensive in May. If the market does not improve and tends weak, the profit of traders will be compressed further. The ordering for forward imported cotton yarn kept sluggish.


[RISK DISCLAIMER] All opinions, news, analysis, prices or other information contained on this report is provided by analyst of Zhejiang Huarui Information Consulting Co., Ltd (CCFGroup) as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. CCFGroup will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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