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Insight | Time: Jul 26 2022 10:05AM  Editor:Dilys Wang
High temperature alert persists in Xinjiang cotton belts, how is the actual situation?
 
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From mid-Jun, high temperature begins to persist in Xinjiang, and the management requirement on cotton fields enhances. Till now, local reports continue to see alert on hot weather. Then how is the weather condition in Xinjiang cotton belts? Viewed from the average temperature and average maximum temperature, the temperature in North Xinjiang cotton belts has declined in early Jul, and that in South Xinjiang cotton belts decreased in mid-Jul. Taking Urumqi and Aksu as the representatives of the North and South Xinjiang respectively, temperature in North Xinjiang has declined, while that in South Xinjiang maintains high.

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From the average temperature, the temperature in South Xinjiang was higher than the same period of last year in mid-Jun, but from late Jun and mid-Jul, average temeprature has been close to the level year on year. In North Xinjiang, the temperature was obviously higher than last year in mid and late Jun, while in mid-Jul, it has been lower.


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From the average maximum temperature, it has been higher than last year in South Xinjiang from mid-Jun to mid-Jul. But the cotton crop growing is faster than last year overall, so the temperature is matched with the cotton crop growing. In North Xinjiang, the average maximum temperature is only higher year on yar in mid-to-late Jun, but from Jul, it falls down.

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Since the latest statistics on temperature data in Xinjiang are by mid-Jul, there is a certain lag in verification. Therefore, to observe the real-time data, we use Urumqi as the representative of North Xinjiang and Aksu as the representative of South Xinjiang. The temperature in North Xinjiang is not much different from last year, and the temperature has peaked, but South Xinjiang is still in a high temperature stage.

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In terms of the average precipitation, small amount of precipitation appeared in South Xinjiang in mid-Jul, while precipitation was obvious in North Xinjiang.

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Looking from the sunshine hours, the average sunshine hours have declined apparently in early Jul in both North and South Xinjiang.

 

Conclusion: for the average temperature, it has started to decline from Jun in early and mid-Jul. For the average maximum temperature, it has been higher than last year in South Xinjiang from mid-Jun to mid-Jul. But the cotton crop growing is faster than last year overall, so the temperature is matched with the cotton crop growing. In North Xinjiang, it is higher than last year in Jun, but has declined in Jul. Taking Urumqi as the representative of North Xinjiang and Aksu as the representative of South Xinjiang to observe the real-time maximum temperature, the temperature in North Xinjiang is not much different from last year, and the temperature has peaked, but South Xinjiang is still in a high temperature stage. The influences of temperature on cotton crop development remain to see. Looking from the news in Xinjiang, the cotton bolls are higher than the same period of last year in many cotton belts. If the weather condition has no big impact later, yield is likely to be higher year on year.

[RISK DISCLAIMER] All opinions, news, analysis, prices or other information contained on this report is provided by analyst of Zhejiang Huarui Information Consulting Co., Ltd (CCFGroup) as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. CCFGroup will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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