Foreword:
So far, the COVID-19 has been rampant around the world for two and a half years since multiple cases started to emerge in Wuhan, Hubei province in Dec 2019. During the period, normal production and trade activities around the world have been damaged and impacted and also continued to arouse worries over the global economic recession. Textile and apparels as the non-essential goods have also witnessed profound impact accordingly and the end-user demand has undergone huge changes before and after the epidemic.
Content
I. Changes in domestic demand for textiles and apparels in 2022: extremely weak
II. Textile and apparel export market change: bigger divergences
III. Production and sales change of printing & dyeing mills: dyeing on arrival, ultra-short delivery time
IV. Macroeconomic cycle theory (investment clock): signs of recession
V.Conclusion
Chart
Chart 1. China's consumer confidence index in 2007-2022
Chart 2. Growth of textile & apparel sales and consumer goods retail sales in 2010-2022
Chart 3. Growth of apparel retail sales above designated size in China in 2012-2022
Chart 4. Cotton yarn and cotton grey fabric inventory of China
Chart 5. Rayon yarn and rayon grey fabric inventory of China
Chart 6. Textile and apparel export of China in 2001-2022
Chart 7. Textile and apparel export of China in 2001-2022
Chart 8. Export structure change of textiles and apparels before and after the COVID-19
Chart 9. Export of textiles and apparels by destination before and after the COVID-19
Chart 10. Printing & dyeing fabric output of above-designated enterprises in 2011-2022
Chart 11. Printing & dyeing fabric export of China in 2021
Chart 12. Delivery time of printing & dyeing mills in 2021-2022
Chart 13. The Merrill Lynch "Investment Clock" theory
Chart 14. China's GDP and PPI trend since 2019
Chart 15. The economic cycle determines the optimal way of asset allocation
Chart 16. Cotton price trend of China since 2008
Figure
Figure 1. Retail sales comparison of social consumer goods and textiles & apparels before and after the COVID-19
Figure 2. Y-O-Y growth of China鈥檚 textile and apparel exports before and after the COVID-19
Figure 3. Printing & dyeing fabric output of above designated size enterprises before and after the COVID-19
Figure 4. Printing & dyeing fabric export of China before and after the COVID-19
Figure 5. Y-O-Y change of printing & dyeing fabric export of China
Figure 6. Operating rate change of printing & dyeing mills before and after the COVID-19
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