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Annual report | Time: Jan 20 2020 10:25AM  Editor:CCFGroup
2019 China cotton textile industry annual report
 
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Chapter one. Cotton textile feedstock


I. Cotton


1. China cotton market review


1.1 Chinese cotton price


1.2 International cotton price review


1.3 Price spread between Chinese and international cotton


1.4. Cotton quotas review


2. Cotton import analysis


3. China cotton supply and demand analysis


3.1 China cotton supply


3.2 Domestic cotton demand


3.3 China cotton supply and demand


4. Global cotton supply and demand and market review


4.1 Global cotton supply and demand and market review


4.2 Cotton market review in major countries


5. Cotton market outlook in 2019/20


II. Polyester staple fiber


1.2019 Direct-spun PSF market review


1.1 Direct-spun PSF price


1.2 2019 direct-spun PSF operation review


2. 2019 direct-spun PSF supply & demand


2.1. Yearly supply


2.2 Monthly supply & demand


2.3. Supply & demand balance


3. Domestic PSF consumption by province


4. 2019 direct-spun PSF import & export


4.1. PSF export


4.2. PSF import


5. 2019 direct-spun PSF market pattern development


5.1. Direct-spun PSF capacity change and expansion


5.2. Capacity distribution


5.3. Product distribution


6. 2020 direct-spun PSF market forecast


III. Viscose staple fiber


I. VSF market review in 2019


1. VSF price operation


2. VSF operating rate and inventory


3. VSF profit


II. VSF import and export


1. VSF import


2. VSF export


III. VSF supply and demand


1. Capacity


2. Output


3. Demand


IV. Influencing factor


1. Macro environment


2. Impact of feedstock cost


3. Profit change


4. Capacity and output


5. Operation of related competitive products


6. Environmental protection and accidents


7. Impact of liquidity


V. VSF market outlook in 2020


IV. Comparison analysis of cotton, PSF and VSF


1. Price


2. Supply and demand


Chapter two Spun yarn


I. Cotton yarn


1. Market review


1.1 China cotton yarn market


1.2 Imported cotton yarn market review


2. Supply and demand


3. Import and export


3.1 Export


3.2 Import


4. Influencing factors


5. Market forecast in 2020


II. Polyester yarn


1. Market review


1.1 Price


1.2 Operating rate and inventory


1.3 Profit


2. Supply and demand


3. Import and export


3.1 Import


3.2 Exports


4. Influencing factors


5. Market forecast


III. Rayon yarn


1. Rayon yarn market review


1.1 Rayon yarn price operation


1.2 Rayon yarn operating rate and inventory


1.3. Rayon yarn profit


2. Supply and demand


3. Rayon yarn import and export


3.1. Export


3.2. Import


4. Influencing factor


4.1 Cost


4.2 Demand


4.3 Substitutes


4.4 Market pattern


5. Forecast


IV. Blended yarn


1. Market review


1.1 Polyester/cotton yarn:


1.2 Polyester/rayon yarn


1.3 Cotton/rayon yarn:


V. Comparison of cotton yarn, rayon yarn and polyester yarn


1. Price


2. Supply and demand


Chapter Three Grey fabric and textile and apparel


I. Cotton grey fabric


1.1 Price


1.2 Profit


1.3 Operating rate and inventory


2. Supply and demand


3. Import and export


3.1 Import


3.2 Export


4. Influencing factors


5. Market outlook


II. Rayon grey fabric


1. Market review


1.1 Price review


1.2 Operating rate and inventory


2. Supply and demand


3. Import and export


3.1 Import


3.2 Export


4. Influencing factors


5. Market outlook


III. Printing and dyeing industry


1. Market review


1. Printing and dyeing industry suffering the strictest 鈥渆nvironmental regulation鈥 142


2. Sales and production


IV. Textile and apparel


1. Apparel output and feedstock consumption


1.1 Apparel output


1.2 Consumption of grey fabric from apparels


1.3 Comparison of retail value between China consumer goods and textile and apparel


2. Export market


3. Production and operating status of China鈥檚 typical apparel enterprises


3.1 Sales status


3.2. Profits


3.3 Apparel mills inventory turnover


4. Apparel import of EU, US and Japan from China


5. Market outlook in 2020




LIST OF CHARTS


Chart 1. Price trend of Chinese cotton 3128 and ZCE cotton futures in 2019


Chart 2. Price trend of international cotton in 2019


Chart 3. Price comparison of Chinese and international cotton in 2019


Chart 4. Prices of cotton quotas in 2019


Chart 5. China cotton imports in 2017/18-2019/20


Chart 6. China cotton import structure (calendar year)


Chart 7. Arrivals of imported cotton in 2018-2019


Chart 8. Imported cotton price trend (shippers' offers)


Chart 9. China cotton planting areas and output in 2010/11-2019/20


Chart 10. China commercial cotton stocks and industrial stocks


Chart 11. Cotton inventory in mills in 2017-2019


Chart 12. China cotton consumption in 2019


Chart 13. USDA monthly forecast on 2019/20 US cotton and change


Chart 14. US cotton harvested areas and yield


Chart 15. Drought coverage rate in US major cotton belts


Chart 16. Inspection volumes of US upland cotton and Pima


Chart 17. Delivery ratio and change of US cotton


Chart 18. This season of US upland cotton export shipments


Chart 19. Next season of US upland cotton export sales


Chart 20. Indian cotton planting progress in major cotton belts


Chart 21. Rainfall in Indian major cotton belts


Chart 22. Indian cotton arrivals by CAI


Chart 23. Brazilian cotton exports


Chart 24. Cotton arrivals and yearly change in Pakistan


Chart 25. Cotton consumption ratio of mills in Pakistan


Chart 26. Australian cotton exports in 2013-2019


Chart 27. Cumulative rainfall in New South Wales and Queensland


Chart 28. Temperature in New South Wales and Queensland


Chart 29. Water storage in Murray Darling Basin, Australia


Chart 30. Direct-spun PSF semi-dull 1.4D price trend in 2019


Chart 31. Spot cash flow of direct-spun PSF in 2018-2019


Chart 32. Direct-spun PSF operating rate comparison in 2018 and 2019


Chart 33. Direct-spun PSF inventory comparison in 2018-2019


Chart 34. Growth of direct-spun PSF capacity and production in 2015-2019


Chart 35. Monthly supply and demand of direct-spun PSF in 2019


Chart 36. Direct-spun PSF consumption direction in 2019


Chart 37. Monthly exports of direct-spun PSF plants in 2018-2019


Chart 38. Proportion of direct-spun PSF exports in 2019 by origin


Chart 39. Direct-spun PSF export destinations in 2018 and 2019


Chart 40. Proportion of trade terms of PSF imports in 2019


Chart 41. Proportion of PSF import by origin in 2019


Chart 42. Proportion of PSF import by destination in 2019


Chart 43. Direct-spun PSF capacity and growth rate in 2015-2019


Chart 44. Direct-spun PSF capacity distribution in 2019


Chart 45. Capacity proportion of different direct-spun PSF products in 2019


Chart 46. VSF price trend and inventory of China in 2019


Chart 47. VSF operating rate and inventory of China in 2019


Chart 48. VSF profit change of China in 2019


Chart 49. VSF import and export of China in 2014-2019


Chart 50. VSF import and export of China in 2019


Chart 51. VSF import of China in 2019 by origin


Chart 52. VSF export of China in 2019 by origin


Chart 53. VSF export of China in 2019 by destination


Chart 54. VSF export of China in 2015-2019 by terms of trade


Chart 55. VSF capacity of China in 2014-2019


Chart 56. VSF capacity distribution of China by province


Chart 57. VSF consumption of China in 2019 by province


Chart 58. VSF cost influence in 2019


Chart 59. VSF and M1 growth rate in 2019


Chart 60. Price comparison of cotton, PSF and VSF in 2019


Chart 61. Price spread of cotton, PSF and VSF in 2019


Chart 62. Consumption comparison of cotton, VSF and PSF


Chart 63. Cotton yarn prices trend in 2019


Chart 64. Cotton yarn spot and futures price comparison in 2018


Chart 65. Operating rate and inventory change of cotton yarn mills in 2019


Chart 66. Spot profits of cotton yarns in 2019


Chart 67. C32S profits under different cotton inventory in 2019


Chart 68. C32S profit during state reserved cotton sales in 2019


Chart 69. Forward imported cotton yarn price trend in 2019


Chart 70. Spot imported cotton yarn price trend in 2019


Chart 71. Price trends of CY C32S and Vietnamese C32S in 2019


Chart 72. Profit trend of major imported cotton yarn varieties in 2018-2019


Chart 73. Profit of Vietnamese C32S for air-jet exported to China in 2018-2019


Chart 74. Theoretical export profit of Indian C32S to China in 2018-2019


Chart 75. Profit of Pakistani siro-spun C10S exported to China in 2018-2019


Chart 76. Exchange rate trend of Pakistan rupee vs. US dollar in 2019


Chart 77. Monthly production assessment of cotton yarn in 2019


Chart 78. Monthly exports and y-o-y change of cotton yarn in 2019


Chart 79. Shares of major China cotton yarn export markets in 2018 and 2019


Chart 80. Y-o-y change of cotton yarn exports to major markets in 2019


Chart 81. Monthly imports and y-o-y change of cotton yarn in 2019


Chart 82. Proportion change y-o-y of cotton yarn import by origin in 2018 and 2019


Chart 83. Major cotton yarn import origins and y-o-y change in 2019


Chart 85. Major cotton yarn import structure and y-o-y change in2019


Chart 86. Direct-spun PSF and polyester yarn price trend in 2019


Chart 87. Polyester yarn inventory and operating rate in 2019


Chart 88. T32S profit trends in 2019


Chart 89. Monthly polyester yarn imports in 2018-2019


Chart 90. Monthly polyester single yarn imports in 2018-2019


Chart 91. Shares of polyester single yarn import origins in 2018 and 2019


Chart 92. Shares of polyester single yarn import destinations in 2018 and 2019


Chart 93. Monthly polyester yarn exports in 2018-2019


Chart 94. Monthly export volume and average price of polyester single yarn in 2019


Chart 95. Shares of polyester single yarn export destinations in 2018 and 2019


Chart 96. Changes in shares of export by origin in 2017-2019


Chart 97. Shares of polyester single yarn export by destination in 2018 and 2019


Chart 98. Shares of polyester ply yarn export by destination in 2018 and 2019


Chart 99. Shares of polyester ply yarn export by origin in 2018 and 2019


Chart 100. Price spread of virgin PSF and HTLS close virgin PSF in 2018-2019


Chart 101. Rayon yarn price trend of China in 2019 by variety


Chart 102. Open-end rayon yarn price trend of China in 2019


Chart 103. Vortex-spun rayon yarn price trend of China in 2019


Chart 104. Rayon yarn operating rate and inventory of China in 2019


Chart 105. Rayon yarn R30S theoretical profit in 2019


Chart 106. Changes of rayon yarn production and VSF consumption


Chart 107. Rayon yarn export of China in 2017-2019


Chart 108. Rayon single yarn export of China by destination


Chart 109. Rayon ply yarn export of China in 2019 by destination


Chart 110. Rayon yarn import of China in 2019


Chart 111. TC65/35 32S price trend in 2019


Chart 112. TC 65/35 32S profit change in 2019


Chart 113. Monthly polyester/cotton yarn imports in 2018-2019


Chart 114. Shares of polyester/cotton yarn import destinations


Chart 115. Shares of polyester/cotton yarn import origins


Chart 116. Monthly polyester/cotton yarn imports in 2018-2019


Chart 117. Shares of polyester/cotton yarn export destinations


Chart 118. Shares of polyester/cotton yarn export origins


Chart 119. T/R 65/35 32S price


Chart 120. Spot profit of TR 65/35 32S


Chart 121. Compact-spun combed C50/R50 40S and its feedstock prices


Chart 122. Spot profit of compact-spun combed C50/R50 40S


Chart 123. Cotton/rayon yarn imports and exports


Chart 124. Cotton/rayon yarn import origins in 2019


Chart 125. Cotton/rayon yarn export destinations in 2019


Chart 126. Price of cotton yarn, rayon yarn and polyester yarn in 2019


Chart 127. Price spread among cotton yarn, rayon yarn and polyester yarn in 2018


Chart 128. Feedstock consumption from China grey fabric in 2014-2019


Chart 129. Price trends of cotton yarn and cotton grey fabric in 2019


Chart 130. Prompt profit of C32S×32S 130×70 63" 2/1 in 2019


Chart 131. Operating rate and inventory of cotton grey fabric plants in 2019


Chart 132. Cotton grey fabric imports in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 133. Shares of China cotton grey fabric imports in 2017-2019 by origins


Chart 134. China cotton grey fabric export in 2017-2019


Chart 135. China cotton grey fabric exports by destinations


Chart 136. Price trends of VSF, rayon yarn and rayon grey fabric


Chart 137. Operating rate and inventory of rayon grey fabric plants


Chart 138. Rayon grey fabric theoretical profit in 2019


Chart 139. China rayon fabric imports (HS code: 5516) in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 140. China rayon grey fabric imports in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 141. Rayon grey fabric import volumes in 2018-2019 by destinations


Chart 142. Rayon grey fabric import volumes in 2018-2019 by destinations


Chart 143. China rayon grey fabric exports in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 144. Rayon grey fabric export volumes by destinations


Chart 145. Dyed rayon fabric exports in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 146. Dyed rayon fabric exports by destinations


Chart 147. Printed rayon fabric exports in 2017-2019 by months


Chart 148. Printed rayon fabric exports by destination


Chart 149. China printing and dyeing fabric output of enterprises above designated size in 2015-2020


Chart 150. Apparel output of above-designated enterprises in 2010-2019


Chart 151. Consumption of grey fabric for apparel production in 2013-2019


Chart 152. Yearly growth of retail value of consumer goods and textile and apparel in 2013-2019


Chart 153. China textile and apparel export value in 2016-2019


Chart 154. Proportion of textile and apparel export in 1995-2018


Chart 155. Export growth of textile and apparel, and nationwide commodity in 1995-2019


Chart 156. Sales revenue of typical apparel enterprises in 2019


Chart 157. Net profits of typical apparel enterprises in 2019


Chart 158. Typical apparel mills inventory turnover in 2019


Chart 159. Inventory turnover days of apparel mills in 2019 compared to 2018


Chart 160. China textile and apparel export market in Jan-Oct 2019


Chart 162. Shares of China textile and apparel in EU, US and Japan in 2003-2019


 


LIST OF FIGURES


Figure 1. China cotton imports by origins


Figure 2. Cotton target price subsidy


Figure 3. Cotton notary-inspection progress in 2018/19


Figure 4. New cotton notary-inspection progress till December 31, 2019


Figure 5. State cotton reserves stocks assessment


Figure 6. China cotton supply and demand


Figure 7. International cotton supply and demand in 2018/19-2019/20


Figure 8. Indian cotton output assessment by CAI


Figure 9. Brazilian cotton supply and demand in 2011/12-2018/19


Figure 10. Pakistani cotton planting progress (million hectares, by Nov 19, 2019)


Figure 11. Cotton planting areas and output in Australia


Figure 12. Semi-dull PSF 1.4D*38mm monthly average price by CCFGroup and settlement price by Sinopec


Figure 13. Direct-spun PSF supply and demand balance sheet


Figure 14. VSF import and export of China in 2019


Figure 15. VSF capacity change of China in 2019


Figure 16. VSF apparent demand of China in 2017-2019 (Unit: kt)


Figure 17. Price change of major VSF feedstock and auxiliary materials in 2019 (unit: yuan/mt)


Figure 18. Supply and demand of cotton, PSF and VSF in 2019


Figure 19. Cotton yarn supply and demand balance sheet in 2017-2019


Figure 20. Polyester yarn supply and demand balance sheet in 2017-2019


Figure 21. Rayon yarn supply and demand


Figure 22. Rayon yarn capacity and output in 2019 by technology


Figure 23. Rayon yarn export of China in Jan-Oct, 2019 by origin


Figure 24. Price change of major VSF feedstock and auxiliary materials in 2019


Figure 25. Production of polyester/cotton yarn in 2017-2019


Figure 26. Production of polyester/rayon yarn in 2015-2017


Figure 27. Import of polyester/rayon yarn in 2017-2019


Figure 28. Production cotton/rayon yarn in 2017-2019


Figure 29. Supply and demand of cotton yarn, rayon yarn and polyester yarn in 2018-2019


Figure 30. Cotton grey fabric supply and demand


Figure 31. Rayon grey fabric supply and demand


Figure 32. Sales revenue of representative printing and dyeing enterprises (unit: 100mln yuan)


Figure 33. Net profits of typical printing and dyeing enterprises (10,000 yuan)


Figure 34. Sales revenue of representative printing and dyeing enterprises


Figure 35. Net profits of representative printing and dyeing enterprises


Figure 36. Textile and apparel imports of EU, US and Japan


Figure 37. Textile and apparel imports of EU, US and Japan from China in 2013-2019


[RISK DISCLAIMER] All opinions, news, analysis, prices or other information contained on this report is provided by analyst of Zhejiang Huarui Information Consulting Co., Ltd (CCFGroup) as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. CCFGroup will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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